Stress-Testing for Pandemics

Why Should You Attend:

Given that the history of regulation shows to go through a cycle of neglect, shock, paranoia and neglect again, we can expect a new wave of regulation that will include the last crisis. However, now is also a good time to, above and regulatory requirements and just because it makes sense, pull up every lesson from the pandemic episode, and to perform stress-testing exercises based upon the new scenarios that have become more likely to occur. One of the reasons is that the pandemic recovery, if and when it comes, will see new winners and new losers among financial institutions.

With the numerous areas of instability, present and to come, it is easier than ever to make again the typical mistakes in stress-testing. Let us try, this time, to improve on the post-2007 response, and ensure that financial institutions emerge in a more performing state than before.

Learning Objectives:

This is truer and all the more worrying for extreme risks, in which there are few or no precedents. Hence stress-test exercises, even assuming that these are carried on properly in the first place, should indicate any residual vulnerability, to be disclosed. However, we still have to meet a bank that clearly gives away to the public scenarios that, if occurring, will bring the bank down.

We examine here a few aspects of reported risks, where these are to be found, and finally concrete examples.

Areas Covered in the Webinar:

• Crisis management reactions
• Pulling and generalizing lessons from the crisis
• Regulatory post-pandemic pitfalls
• Totems and taboos in regulation
• A few post-pandemic scenarios
• Finding the right level of preemptive measures for the next pandemic
• Living in a world of over-indebtedness
• The new game in geopolitical tensions
• The new winners and losers

Who Will Benefit:

This workshop is intended for professionals in financial institutions, regulatory bodies and advisory firms, as well as individuals with a professional interest in the course material. Specific titles and functions that are of particular relevance include:

• Market Risk Management and Analytics
• Traded Market Risk
• Correlation Trading
• Market Risk Modelling
• Credit Risk Modelling
• Risk Methodology
• Risk Analysis
• Model Validation
• Regulatory and Economic Capital
• Implementation of Basel Accords
• Stress-testing
• Risk Internal Audit — Quantitative Analysis
• Finance and Treasury
• Regulation & Compliance
• Financial Institutions Advisory
• Bank Supervision
• Bank Regulation
• Financial Stability and Economic Analysis

Fred Vacelet
Financial Risk Management Consultant, FVacelet

Fred Vacelet, MBA, FRM/PRM, CTM, IFQ, is an international Financial Risk Management Consultant with an expertise in Risk Management methodological frameworks. His experience spans some 25 years, advising banks and software houses on risk management. Fred holds various degrees, including from London Business School, England, with post-graduate studies at the Technische (then West)-Berlin, Germany and Keio (Japan) universities. He is published author on risk management and Basel Accords, and a regular speaker at conferences. Fred writes and presents training courses and workshops on risk management and Basel Accords.

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